One Thing Leads to Another, Step by Step

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New CDC Estimates: Fatality Rate For COVID-19 Drops Again And May Surprise You

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Sun, 09/27/2020 – 20:00 Submitted by Mark Glennon of Wirepoints

What’s are the real chances of dying if you are infected with COVID-19? You’ll probably be surprised how low they are according to new numbers from the Center for Disease Control. We’ll state those numbers simply for those of you who aren’t crazy about math. The CDC’s new estimate, for the first time, is broken down by age groups. Here is what the CDC calls its “current best estimate” of chances of dying from the virus if you get infected: 1 out of 34,000 for ages 0 to 19; 1 out of 5,000 for ages 20 to 49; 1 out of 200 for ages 50 to 69; and 1 out of 20 for ages 70 and up. Here’s another way to look at the same numbers.

If you get infected, your chances of surviving are as follows:

Age Group Probability of Survival

0-19: 99.997%

20-49: 99.98%

50-69: 99.5%

70+: 94.6%

The CDC’s numbers are actually published as what’s called the “Infection Fatality Ratio” or IFR. The relevant portion of their chart is reproduced below. We’ve just stated their numbers a different way and rounded a bit. IFR includes, as those who were “infected,” those who got the virus but never got sick or displayed symptoms. The CDC’s “best estimate” may be off and it offered other scenarios, also shown in the chart below. They are all very low, however, as you can see. For those age 20-49, for example, even under the worse case scenario, the IFR is only .0003. That means your chances of dying even if you got infected would be 1 out of 3,333. Estimates of COVID’s lethality have been dropping regularly. In March, when most of the nation went into lockdown, Dr. Anthony Fauci estimated the mortality rate at about 2% and the World Health Organization pegged it at about 3.4%. Both are far higher than the current CDC estimate. Those earlier numbers, which were far more frightening, got extensive press coverage. Very little media attention, however, has gone toward the new numbers.


8 thoughts on “One Thing Leads to Another, Step by Step”

  1. I thought maybe a couple days ago to come here. Didn’t get to it until now. It is interesting Linda heard “October Surprise”, because now with Trump reportedly supposedly having covid, my husband said earlier today, “this is the October surprise”! Interesting. He’s a Trump guy. Search the term “October surprise”.

    My husband got tested. The doctor refused to sign his medical certificate to go back to work until he submitted to a covid test. I felt partially responsible because I knew..I was thinking before he went there, “the doctor’s going to Covid test him” because I knew everyone who has cold or flu symptoms they want tested.

    I was thinking of the possibility of being betrayed last year, and the following day, Linda had posted up her word about the walking or the living dead and not treating someone who takes the mark as if they are the same person anymore because they will betray you.

    It stood out to me not just due to the timing, but also because that is the term I used after I got saved – I used that even of myself when I didn’t have Jesus. I used that of everyone who wasn’t a follower of Christ. He brought me to life. He brings life. He is the life. When I was first saved, I asked Him not to let me die of an accident or illness. I said I wanted to give my life with praises to my God. I don’t know whether that’ll happen, but I asked because I wanted to give the Lord everything. I guess I’ll find out about that.

    My heart went out to you regarding your son. I prayed with you. I asked God why I got my miracle re: the vaccines and you didn’t on this test as soon as I heard. The answer in my mind right away was that your son is old enough to make his own decisions. I am so sorry this happened. I prayed for him and you.

  2. B. Gates, Mr vaccination man has teamed up with Gavi: The Vaccine Alliance – to facilitate the vaccine;
    ‘Trust Stamp’, has loined them and their business is ‘biometric identification numbering systems’ and no 3 to join them is ‘Mastercard’, the debit/credit card giant to facilitate financial transactions through this vaccine.

    Gates is also investing in a ‘quantum dot patch’, where one’s body becomes’ one’ with the vaccine.

    Rev:13 16-18 …’ It is the number of a man’ ..666 .. here we have 3 man-made organisations….remember WWW is 666 and the 666 on the bar-code is also a ubiquitous world wide number.
    Gates has publically stated that the world needs to eliminate cash and use his ‘vaccine passport, without which no one will be able to buy or sell’.
    Bioteq, a UK company produces RFID microchips and exports them around the world The company C/E has openly stated that their chips contain a bar-code.
    172 nations have signed a declaration of intent to the WHO to mandatory have every citizen vaccinated once the vaccine becomes available.
    Ken Peters has indicated his vision of the mark as being a type of injected stamp with the symbol of Baal, the sun god with a hand depicted within the centre of it.
    The Lord has also revealed that the nanoparticles (AI) in the vaccine will effect ones DNA as well as lowering ones immune level (and Gates says all will need 2 or 3 vaccine injections).
    Anyone who voluntarily has his DNA altered no longer belongs to the Lord. is a very stark warning.

    The whole point is that the devil will not let you see where this 666 number is (wisdom is required to spot it) but will use a variety of methods to get one ‘marked’, it is not any single one system.

  3. My heart goes out to you Jeff. My son just got tested AGAIN and is on quarantine via his best friend sick. They had him on the list in rural TX. Without Jesus, we have programming of running to the doctor when we’ve had serious infections in the past. I pray they are safe and in the meantime… they don’t get tested again! I am smack 50/50 as to whether all the tests are contaminated… this whole plandemic is growing more heartbreaking as time unfolds. I do know what they use the tests for. The only answer is repentance and not having them again….


    “CDC estimates that influenza has resulted in between 9 million – 45 million illnesses, between 140,000 – 810,000 hospitalizations and between 12,000 – 61,000 deaths annually since 2010.”

    SO…dividing 12,000 deaths by 9,000,000 illnesses gives us an expected mortality rate (apparently without specified age group or other health issues) of .00013333%…
    OR…dividing 810,000 deaths by 45,000,000 illnesses gives us an expected mortality rate (with no explanation for the ratio change, and again, apparently irrespective of age or other health ussues) of 0.018.

    So the CDC’s IFR for COVID19 among those aged 20-49 of 1/3333
    amounts to 0.00030003% chance of mortality. These rates are statistically indistinguishable, being 1 1/3 to 3 out of every 10,000. Yet we’ve allowed our businesses and livelihoods, the nation’s economy (except for the *special* businesses receiving bailouts from OUR tax dollars), and suspended the Constitution and rule of law!

  5. Here is a word that the lord gave me back in August. Woe to the inhabitants. of this Earth.. the Lord is angry with the sin in this world and the lack of hearing his warnings all need to repent and come back to their first love which is Jesus Christ his son who died on the cross for the sins of mankind that through his shed blood you have salvation and eternal life repent and turn from your wicked ways all of mankind created in God’s image… Severe judgement is coming to the inhabitants of this world especially America with it’s pride and greed and hatred the Lord is angry and they will find out just how angry he is, but he has Mercy on those who will call on the name of his son and repent of their wicked ways.. Our God is an all-consuming fire he has great mercy and patience with all of mankind all need to repent and come back to Jesus.. Ask Jesus into your life and to save you from the sin that you live in so that you may have eternal life in heaven your true home..

  6. Brother Jeff I want to thank you for your obedience to our Lord.. my heart breaks for your family I know this video you shared had to be very difficult I want to share something with you beginning of the pandemic I myself became very ill for almost a month at the time of my illness my entire family lives with me encouraging my two-year-old grandson but I want you to know I did not get tested this was a test I was to be a walking testimony to my family and others that there is nothing. Our Lord cannot do or cure.. I became very very sick at times I thought I would stop breathing all together but thanks to Jesus my healer he healed my body totally a verse came to mind was … If you try to save your life you will loose it but if you die for Christ it is great gain.. that particular verse got me thru it . As I told my family if it is my time I will go be with the Lord and if not he will heal me which is what he did … I thank my God for what I went through because I was a testimony to my own family who were concerned like many over the pandemic.. our Lord is the way maker , miracle worker. light in the darkness.. I asked I wanted to share that the Lord has been giving me visions as well of exactly the picture u posted a table of Domino’s as first one fell so did rest One by One as will be the judgement of America and the world that won’t stop until our Lord’s return .. another vision I’ve had recently was of boils as in the days of pharaoh one of the many plagues that had hit Egypt I do believe this will be one of many plagues to hit America and Israel and around the world… I do believe before the end of this year the kickoff event that you have spoken of and others may very well happen..we are in a season of great sorrow but trust in our Lord no matter what we see or hear for he has promised to never leave us …walk by faith not by sight …. Ten thousand may fall at your right side ten thousand may fall at your left but not a hair on ur head be touched …. Brother Jeff I want you to know I am praying for you and your family and have been ,not only God’s protection, provisions in these last days that the Lord will strengthen all your faith and that you all will cling to him no matter what try to come against any of you …I pray that the eyes of the spiritual blind eyes be opened to the only truth which is Jesus Christ our Lord and savior our constant companion and friend … I pray all this in Jesus mighty name amen….

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